Skip to main content.
Navigation:
November 7th, 2006

Re: [Pmclinic] The space between lies and statistics

Hi,

I think you need to collect your own data and present your point.

IMHO, there is no such thing as an unbiased statistic. The data that
we collect, the measure that it used to analyze the data, and the
interpretation of the results are all subjective.

Another point you want to check for is correlation vs causation.
There are many possible reasons that two items may be correlated,
including randomness. What you want to check for is causation, i.e
check if there are other possible causes that could give the same
result.

Here is an example:

Data: Attrition is high in all teams except mine
Conclusion: I am a better manager, thus I should get a higher bonus
Hidden fact: Ratio of senior members to junior members are a lot
higher in my team
Real conclusion: I may be a better or worse manager (this is
unknown), but my team’s composition is better

If you think someone is playing the correlation game (intentionally
or not), then try searching for the causation and present that.

I’m a bit confused over the title and the post though. You say the
data was fudged. By that do you mean the data was made up, or do you
mean that the data was selectively chosen in order to make a point?
If it is the former, then you are talking about a lie, there is no
statistics here.

To summarise, why not take your data and give a presentation that
presents your point as to what you think is the alternative
explanation?


Siddharta
http://siddhi.blogspot.com

_______________________________________________
PM Clinic - www.scottberkun.com/forums/pmclinic/

Posted by Conrad Walton in Project Management

This entry was posted on Tuesday, November 7th, 2006 at 7:40 pm and is filed under Project Management. You can follow any responses to this entry through the comments RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

One Response to “Re: [Pmclinic] The space between lies and statistics”

  1. barbara Bee Says:

    I have no idea whom to contac but i feel i must let you know about one of your wreckless drivers driving vehicle KX55CRK yesterday 5/4/2007 @ 70 miles an hour in a 50 mile limit!! I was doing 50 and for a considerable time he was nearly in the boot of my car! This is appalling behavour. It was very frightening having him behind me! The driver was totally oblivious to the danger and this was not only on the dual carriage way but also on the A roads coming back from Swindon heading to Pxford! I do not appreciate someone trying to run me off the road, i could have had children in my car, He had no idea if i did or not and i guess from his behavior he would not have cared anyway!! It would be appreciate it if you would ask the said driver to have more consideration for other people on the road in future instead of showing off in his big car carrier!
    Thankyou
    B Bee

Leave a Reply

You must be logged in to post a comment.